The whole corpus: what the other 247 indicators hold

The smell test ran against the 442 indicators screened usable. That left 247 graded NO-DATA or THIN-COVERAGE — and the grade was assigned against a six-country panel, so it only ever meant "no data for those six", not "no data anywhere". Ran it with --all to find out.

689 indicators · 773,335 observations · 2,503 findings.

The screening panel was right, and now that is measured

The extra 247 indicators contributed 5,056 observations — 0.65% of the corpus — and 207 of the 247 returned no country-level data at all. A grade assigned on six countries predicted global emptiness correctly 84% of the time.

That closes a question I had raised against our own method. The six-country panel was chosen for speed, with the honest caveat that it could not distinguish "the panel does not report this" from "nobody does". It turns out to distinguish them almost perfectly, and 442 remains the right denominator for everything downstream.

The 40 indicators that do hold data are worth knowing about, because of what they are: e-waste collected, recycled and its proportions; municipal waste imported and exported. Those sit exactly in the band we identified months ago as the interesting one — indicators a city can report internationally precisely because its own country skips them.

Guadeloupe, again, four times over

The previous sweep found Guadeloupe's e-waste collection multiplying by a thousand in 2022. With the full corpus it turns out the same error propagates through every derived indicator:

Indicator Unit 2021 2022
Electronic waste collected per capita kg 13.71 13,950
Electronic waste recycled per capita kg 13.71 13,950
Total electronic waste collected tonnes 5,472 5,367,000
Total electronic waste recycled tonnes 5,472 5,367,000

The largest total any other country has ever recorded for e-waste recycled is 899,300 tonnes. So Guadeloupe — population about 380,000 — is published as the world's biggest e-waste recycler, by a factor of six. One unit slip in a 2022 submission, carried into four indicators.

This is also the first time the checks corroborated each other: the same anomaly surfacing in four related series is much stronger evidence than the same anomaly surfacing once.

Small states reporting zero for two decades

The new coverage brought a pattern rather than a single error. Municipal waste exported and imported, both flatlined at exactly zero for very long runs: Mauritius 23 years, Dominica 22, Singapore 21 and 22, Cuba 20, Palestinian Territories 19, Jamaica 18, Saint Lucia 16, Liechtenstein 24.

Some of that is surely true — a small island genuinely exports no municipal waste. But a twenty-year run of exact zeros is also what "no submission" looks like when it is stored as a number instead of a gap, and the two are indistinguishable from outside. Worth one question to the platform team: is zero here a measurement or a default? Our own rule is that a missing year stays missing and is never interpolated; the same distinction matters just as much in the other direction.

Alongside it, "Proportion of electronic waste that is collected" sits at exactly 100% for Niger for eight consecutive years and Iran for six.

Everything else held

The finding counts barely moved — 2,457 to 2,503, with one new HIGH — which is the correct result for adding 0.65% more data. The five verified errors from the earlier sweep stand unchanged.